Will the british public be more Trans-supportive in 2026?
5
Ṁ432026
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As discussed here https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/51545-where-does-the-british-public-stand-on-transgender-rights-in-202425
Yougov has asked the brittish public in 2022 and 2024 weather they agree or disagree with:
People should be able to identify as being of a different gender to the one they had recorded at birth.
In 2022, 38% agreed. In 2024, it fell to 32%. This market resolves yes if the number is above 32% the next time it is polled by Yougov (or, if this is not conveniently available, a similar question of my choosing will be used, resolves yes if positive responses to that question increased from 2024 to most recent).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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