Gemini 3.0 scores 1500+ on Chatbot Arena in 2025?
12
Ṁ608Jan 1
57%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gemini 3 on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches an Arena Score of 1500+ by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Gemini 3.0 released before October 31?
2% chance
Gemini 3.0 released in November 2025?
71% chance
Gemini 3.0 Pro outperforms GPT-5 on METR 50% time horizon?
57% chance
Gemini 3.0 released before November 15?
45% chance
Gemini 3.0 released before November 30?
76% chance
Gemini 3 Pro scores over 72 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index?
41% chance
Will Gemini be more popular than Chatgpt at the end of 2025?
7% chance
Before 2026, will Gemini 3.0 exceed GPT-5 in Metr estimated time horizon?
57% chance
Gemini 3 scores above 30 in Humanity's Last Exam?
78% chance
Will Gemini 3 Pro be better than ChatGPT 5 Thinking in math?
61% chance