Who will win the 2026 election for California's 38th State Senate district
2
Ṁ90
2026
55%
Catherine Blakespear (Democratic, Incumbent)
45%
Other

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 election for California's 38th State Senate district. The official results will be verified through the California Secretary of State's website: California Secretary of State - Election Results.

Background

The 38th State Senate district encompasses coastal North County San Diego County communities, including La Jolla, Del Mar, Solana Beach, Cardiff, Rancho Santa Fe, Encinitas, Carlsbad, Vista, Oceanside, San Luis Rey, and Camp Pendleton Marine Corps Base, along with the southern edge of Orange County, including San Clemente, San Juan Capistrano, Ladera Ranch, Las Flores, and Rancho Santa Margarita. (en.wikipedia.org)

As of June 2025, the incumbent is Democrat Catherine Blakespear, who assumed office on December 5, 2022. Prior to her tenure in the State Senate, Blakespear served as the mayor of Encinitas from 2016 to 2022. (en.wikipedia.org)

The 2026 election will be held on November 3, 2026, with the primary election scheduled for June 2, 2026. (en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

As of June 2025, no candidates have officially declared their intention to run for the 2026 election in California's 38th State Senate district. Potential candidates may announce their campaigns closer to the primary election date. Voters should monitor official announcements and reputable news sources for updates on the candidate field.

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