Will any fusion reactor project demonstrate engineering breakeven before the end of 2040?
Plus
53
Ṁ13k2040
74%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Some people are optimistic about fusion, especially given recent progress. Initial probability is still super low here anyways because fusion power has been "soon" many times in the past.
Engineering breakeven means that the reaction generates enough excess energy to power itself, and is explained in this wiki article.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
whoops
Related questions
Related questions
In which decade will a fusion reactor project first demonstrate engineering breakeven?
Will we get fusion reactors before 2029?
20% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2040?
61% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2031?
32% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2041?
62% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2035?
44% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2034?
38% chance
Will Helion demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
17% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2032?
32% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2038?
50% chance