
Will we experience a year where all satellite launches fail before 2040?
Plus
11
Ṁ8642040
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if there is a period of 365 days, the last day being no later than 12/31/2039, where no satellites launches are attempted or all attempted satellite launches fail.
A satellite launch will be considered to be a failure if no satellite on the launch remains in orbit for more than a year.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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