Any of the UK Crown Jewels is stolen or destroyed or lost through 2031
Basic
2
Ṁ1432032
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Based on western reports
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crown_Jewels_of_the_United_Kingdom
If any of them are damaged or attacked for example in a political action, if they are fully repairable then it doesn't count as being destroyed. i.e. surface damage, clean, ok => doesn't qualify. but cracking a large diamond, can't be fixed => counts as destroyed. Cracking a minor aspect or diamond which is exactly replaceable will not count as them being destroyed.
If the situation is uncertain, I may delay resolution until there is clarity. If there is no clarity after 6 months, then I may resolve the claim as YES it is lost.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Any of the Iranian National Jewels is stolen or destroyed or lost through 2031
37% chance
Will the UK return the Kohinoor Diamond to India before 2030?
24% chance
Will the UK return the Elgin Marbles to Greece before the end 2030?
41% chance
The original physical US Constitution is stolen or destroyed or lost through 2031
7% chance
"Britcoin" by 2030?
26% chance
The Rosetta Stone disappears, is stolen, or lost through 2031
10% chance
Mona Lisa is stolen or destroyed or lost through 2031
10% chance
Destruction of any of 14 famous world historical monuments through 2031
11% chance
Will the UK abolish the Monarchy before 2030?
5% chance