How much will Google Trends interest in AI consciousness change from Jan '24 to Jan '26?
Basic
6
Ṁ1222026
8%
<=0.3x
16%
>.3x, <=1x
21%
>1x, <=3x
28%
>3x, <=10x
27%
>10x
Resolves based on this trend for the query "ai consciousness"
https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&geo=US&q=ai%20consciousness
What will the multiplier be from the trends index for the first two weeks of January 2024 to that index for the first two weeks of January 2026? If there's no change, this would resolve to 1.0. If the plot shows Jan '24 interest at zero due to a large spike later, I'll treat the zero value as 1.0 for the purpose of setting the multiplier, so a reading of (Jan '24: 0, Jan '26: 78) would resolve to 78.0.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
How much will Google Trends interest in AI boyfriends change from Jan '24 to Jan '25?
Will Google Trends activity for 'AI' be higher on July 1st 2025 then it is today?
63% chance
In January 2026, how publicly salient will AI deepfakes/media be, vs AI labor impact, vs AI catastrophic risks?
US Google Trends: Which of these keywords will surpass their 2023 peak in 2024?
Google trends for "AI" will be lower in 2024 than in 2023
15% chance
Will there ever be more Google search volume about AI Alignment than about Light Pollution, for any day before EOY 2024?
7% chance
US Google Trends: Which of these keywords will surpass their 2024 peak in 2025?
Which Will Be The Most Impactful New AI Idea in February 2024?
Will American opinion of AI improve in 2025, according to Gallup?
68% chance
Will “woke (topic)” be more popular in the US on Google Trends five years from now than today?
27% chance