What will be the first year in which global carbon dioxide levels decrease?
What will be the first year in which global carbon dioxide levels decrease?
Basic
6
Ṁ17682050
66%
3%
2036
3%
2037
3%
2038
3%
2039
3%
2040
2%
2032
2%
2033
2%
2034
2%
2035
2%
2031
1.6%
2030
1.5%
2029
1.4%
2028
According to https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-atmospheric-carbon-dioxide or another reliable source.
Any answers that are not a 4-digit year or are a duplicate of an existing answer will be ignored.
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What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
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Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
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Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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