Will there be a profitable moon base by 2050?
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resolved YES, if there is a base on the lunar surface permanently inhabitated by humans for at least 3 months, and all revenues of the base exceed all costs.
Possible costs:
Initial construction, launch, salary, maintanance, etc. - but not the basic research & developement to make a moon base possible.
Possible revenues:
mining exports (such as helium 3), research contracts, space tourism, satellite launch contracts, real estate, manufacturing, refueling, entertainment, etc.
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