Will an AI system beat humans in the GAIA benchmark in 2024?
Basic
11
Ṁ309Jan 1
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
GAIA: a benchmark for General AI Assistants
paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.12983
GPT4 scored only 15% compared to 92% for humans
I will resolve based on open source results or official reputable company announcements/papers.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI agent system be able to score at least 40% on level 3 tasks in the GAIA benchmark before 2025.
36% chance
Will an AI system beat humans in the GAIA benchmark before the end of 2025?
38% chance
Will AI pass the Winograd schema challenge by the end of 2024?
66% chance
By when will AIs perform at least as well as humans on GAIA?
Will an AI outcompete the best humans on any one programming contest of IOI, ICPC, or CodeForces before 2025?
2% chance
Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?
92% chance
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?
53% chance
Will AI beat the best humans in competitive programming before the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will AI outcompete best humans in competitive programming before the end of 2024?
8% chance
Which AI will be the best at the end of 2024?