Will a national referendum take place in 2025 in France?
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2
Ṁ100
Dec 31
50%
chance

Article 11 of the French Constitution allows the President (or, since 2015, part of parliament along with a tenth of registered voters) to trigger a referendum on a legislative project.

In the midst of an unstable political climate, President Macron has alluded to eliciting the voters' opinion more directly this year [1]. Will he?

This question resolves YES if at least one national referendum vote (per Article 11) happens in 2025, and NO otherwise.

Only polling day counts, not announcements. Article 89 constitutional revisions don't count. A change in presidency doesn't matter either.

[1] https://www.francetvinfo.fr/politique/emmanuel-macron/referendums-ou-conventions-citoyennes-que-veut-dire-emmanuel-macron-lorsqu-il-annonce-vouloir-demander-aux-francais-de-trancher-des-sujets-determinants-en-2025_6988457.html

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