When will Starship reach orbit?
Basic
5
Ṁ1932026
2,025.33
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
An 'orbit' here is defined as a trajectory on which if no re-entry burn is fired Starship would remain in space for a period of over 24 hours (I don't want to get 'burned' by some sort of wacky sub-orbital flight that still lands at Starbase or in the Atlantic after one circumnavigation)
Question has increments of 0.05 years, so bet slightly cautiously. If it really matters it the moment of liftoff, local time, will be used to determine when a successful resolution took place.
If Starship doesn't reach orbit before 2026.8 this will resolve to 2026.85
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
When will Starship complete an orbit?
When will Starship first launch with useful payload?
By which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?
When will Starship first deploy a commercial satellite to orbit?
When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit?
Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?
94% chance
When will Starship fly in space with a human on board?
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 7 times before the end of 2025?
78% chance
[ACX 2024] Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?
2% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 8 times before the end of 2025?
71% chance