When will a nuclear weapon be used for military purposes?
Basic
8
Ṁ11732200
1%
2023
1%
2024
4%
2025
5%
2026–2027
6%
2028-2030
8%
2031–2035
7%
2036–2040
12%
2041–2050
6%
2051–2060
6%
2061–2070
6%
2071–2080
6%
2081–2090
6%
2091–2100
23%
Not before 2101
The question will be resolved to the first year (after 1945) during which any entity intentionally detonate a nuclear device that causes substantial damage, harm, or casualties as an act of aggression to advance military objectives against an adversary.
The detonation must be a hostile action deployed for a military purpose, not a test or accident.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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