Will general consensus be that OpenAI is no longer the lead AI company by end of 2024?
Plus
46
Ṁ3829Jan 1
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves based on my sole judgement, which will be based on my best reading of the general consensus (rather than my personal feelings about OpenAI)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will another organization surpass OpenAI in the public sphere of awareness of AI progress by the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will OpenAI exist as an independent entity by 2025?
92% chance
Will OpenAI become notably more pro safety by start of 2025 than before the OpenAI crisis?
8% chance
Who will invest in OpenAI in 2024?
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
44% chance
Will xAI overtake OpenAI as the leader in AI research by the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will OpenAI disappear before 2034?
34% chance
What will happen to OpenAI next year?
Will OpenAI become nothing by 2030?
By 2028, will I think OpenAI has been net-good for the world?
35% chance