Will the S&P500 be within 1% of all time high at the end of July 2025?
14
Ṁ411Jul 31
63%
chance
1D
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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 Index's closing value on July 31, 2025, is within 1% of its all-time high. The all-time high, as of Jul 14, 2025, is $626.87. Therefore if the market were to close below $620.60, this would resolve NO. If the market reaches a new all time high, that will be what the market must be within 1% of for the market to resolve to "Yes." If the closing value falls outside this range, the market will resolve to "No.". If the market closes exactly 1% below all time high this will resolve to 50%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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