Will Congress confirm a Supreme Court justice in 2025?
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40%
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This market shall resolve as Yes if any individual is confirmed to the role of Chief Justice or Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the End Date listed below. Any nomination that does not result in a confirmation shall have no effect on the outcome of this market.
The outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
Confirmation of an Associate Justice to the position of Chief Justice is sufficient for this market to resolve to Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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