When will Vladimir Putin die?
When will Vladimir Putin die?
7
Never closes
Before 2026
2026-2030
2031-2035
2036-2040
2041-2045
2046-2050
2051-2055
This market asks for predictions on when Vladimir Putin, the current President of Russia, will die. As of early-2025, Putin is 72 years old and began his fifth term as president in May 2024.
Note: While there have been many rumors about Putin's health over the years, there is no credible evidence that he is seriously ill or dying according to available information. The Kremlin has consistently rejected speculation about Putin's health.
This is a poll-based market where participants can vote on their best estimate of when Putin will die.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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