Will the odds of this market be below 50% at the end of 2024?
Basic
15
Ṁ237
resolved Jan 22
Resolved
YES

Will be based on the "chance" of the market at 12:00am, Jan 1, 2025. Resolves "yes" if the chance is strictly below 50%.

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Note @MaxJiangfbf8 that "by" means "at or before". But since this market only depends on the state of things at the end of 2024, and not before, the use of "by" in the title is confusing. Would suggest changing it to "at the end of 2024"

@chrisjbillington Ok, changed. I didn't know this distinction. Thanks for pointing it out.

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