Which member state of the European Union will be the first to achieve a life expectancy of 90 at birth for females?
Which member state of the European Union will be the first to achieve a life expectancy of 90 at birth for females?
Basic
5
Ṁ2982059
43%
Italy
40%
Luxembourg
38%
Spain
34%
France
34%
Sweden
Which of the current 27 EU member states will reach a life expectancy at birth of 90 for women first?
Multiple answers are possible if several countries reach 90 the same year.
https://www.insee.fr/en/outil-interactif/7344233/EVDA/EUROPE
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What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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