Background Civilization games traditionally receive major expansion packs that add significant new gameplay mechanics and features. For Civilization 7, 2K Games has announced two DLC collections: the Crossroads of the World Collection (March 2025) and the Right to Rule Collection (April-September 2025). These collections will presumably include new leaders, civilizations, and wonders, but are structured as smaller DLC releases rather than a traditional large expansion pack.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if a major expansion pack (similar in scope to Civilization VI's "Rise and Fall" or "Gathering Storm") is released for Civilization 7 before July 1, 2026. The expansion must:

• Add significant new gameplay mechanics or systems

• Be marketed and sold as an expansion pack (or similar) rather than DLC

• Be officially released by 2K Games

The market will resolve NO if:

• No such expansion pack is released before July 1, 2026

• Only smaller DLC packs or content collections are released

• The game is delayed beyond the resolution date

Considerations

• While DLC collections have been announced through September 2025, plans for content releases beyond that date have not been publicly shared

• The gaming industry's trend toward seasonal passes and smaller DLC releases instead of traditional expansion packs may affect Civilization 7's post-launch content strategy

Because some resolution criteria are subjective, I will not bet on this market.