
Will the italian government last for the entire term of office?
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Ṁ12412027
55%
chance
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Italy has had no less than 70 governments in 77 years, and its political instability is a well known problem all around Europe. Will Giorgia Meloni last 5 years?
https://pagellapolitica.it/articoli/durata-governi-italia
(the article is in italian but I couldn't find anything as relevant in english)
The market will resolve at the end of the term (~2027) or before in case of fall.
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