Will there be a Democratic Supreme Court majority before the advent of AGI?
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31%
chance
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This market is closed now and was by a very inactive user, but I was jealous of its creativity and am copying it.
For the purposes of this market:
a Democratic Supreme Court Majority refers to when a majority of the Justices on the Court are appointed by US Presidents belonging to the Democratic Party.
For the definition of AGI, I refer to the terms defined in this Metaculus question.
I will be betting in this market. I don't foresee any plausible ambiguities in this question, but in the event of any ambiguities I consent to turning over the resolution of this market to trustworthy-ish users.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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