Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jens Spahn steps down or is removed from his position as leader of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Official announcements from the CDU/CSU or reputable news outlets will serve as sources for resolution.

Background

Jens Spahn, a member of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), has been serving as the leader of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group since May 5, 2025. Prior to this role, he was the Federal Minister of Health from 2018 to 2021, during which he faced criticism for his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, particularly concerning the procurement of protective masks at inflated prices. (en.wikipedia.org)

In July 2025, reports emerged that the CDU/CSU parliamentary group was planning a vote on Spahn's dismissal due to ongoing pressure from the mask scandal and growing internal discontent. The Sudhof report documented significant missteps in mask procurement during Spahn's tenure as Health Minister, leading to calls for his resignation. (lab-news.de)

Considerations

The outcome of the planned vote within the CDU/CSU parliamentary group will be pivotal in determining Spahn's political future. If the vote results in his removal, the market will resolve to "Yes." Conversely, if he retains his position through the end of 2025, the market will resolve to "No." Traders should monitor official statements from the CDU/CSU and reputable news sources for updates on this situation.