Will the Ukrainians get the German Taurus cruise missile before the end of 2026?
Basic
5
Ṁ542027
63%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is an addition to the 2024 question and will use the resolution criteria outlined there: https://manifold.markets/ThomasTwenhoven/will-the-ukrainians-get-the-german#ynapi6my0fn
You can also bet on 2025 here: https://manifold.markets/ThomasTwenhoven/will-the-ukrainians-get-the-german-nuR6uLlLq2
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Ukrainians get the German Taurus cruise missile before the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will the Ukrainians get the German Taurus cruise missile before the end of 2025?
61% chance
[Metaculus] Will Germany supply Ukraine with a Taurus missile in 2024?
6% chance
Will Ukraine demonstrate a domestically-produced short-range ballistic missile by the end of 2025?
49% chance
Will Ukraine demonstrate a domestically-produced intermediate-range ballistic missile by the end of 2025?
45% chance
Will Germany give a Taurus missile to Ukraine before a Russian missile or drone hits a target in a NATO country?
38% chance
Will Ukraine demonstrate a domestically-produced medium-range ballistic missile by the end of 2025?
46% chance
Will Russia shoot down an F-16 over Ukraine before the end of 2025?
79% chance
Will the Ukraine war end by 2025?
1% chance
Will Ukraine have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2035?
22% chance