Will another Federal Carbon tax carve-out be created before the end of 2025?
Will another Federal Carbon tax carve-out be created before the end of 2025?
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Recently, the Federal government added an exemption to the carbon tax for heating oil. https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/climate-energy/canadas-energy-minister-defends-carbon-tax-carve-out-heating-oil-2023-11-06/, but promised that he would not add any other carve-outs.
Will another carve out in the federal carbon tax be created before the end of 2025? (Note that this includes a period of time after the next election, so the carve out could be added by the next government. Changes made by provincial governments will not count. Abolishing or suspending the carbon tax would cause this question to resolve Yes.)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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