Will the Bitcoin halvening be followed by substantially decreased block production?
Basic
4
Ṁ305Dec 31
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution is based on comparing BTC block rates,
averaged for 28 days in the [D+29,D+58] vs. [D-58,D-29]
intervals from after and before the halving on day D. Closes on D+29.
Resolves YES if production decreased by at least 14 block/day, NO otherwise.
Data is to be taken from <https://blockchair.com/charts/create/>
('Block height' dataset).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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1,000
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