IF the US re-enters the Iran deal by 2025 end THEN will Iran develop nuclear weapons by 2030?
Basic
10
Ṁ2182030
60%
chance
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1W
1M
ALL
Resolution matches with https://manifold.markets/NickHeinonen/will-iran-have-a-nuclear-weapon-by-12dc938abd23 except resolves N/A if the US is not a party to the Iran nuclear deal on 31 Dec 2025.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joint_Comprehensive_Plan_of_Action
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