How much Ṁ will be invested in AI fund by the end of February 2024?
How much Ṁ will be invested in AI fund by the end of February 2024?
Basic
3
Ṁ60Mar 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
65%
Less than Ṁ1,000
9%
Ṁ1,000 to Ṁ5,000
25%Other
Message me to start investing.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Which AI will be the best at the end of 2025?
AI will run a $1bn+ outperforming market hedge fund by 2030 where I am 80% sure that AI is doing ~all functions
28% chance
How much will AI startups raise in 2024 as a ratio of 2023's total of ~50 billion USD
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2025?
19% chance
Will some U.S. investment bankers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?
15% chance
will the publicly disclosed xAI market cap exceed OpenAI's market cap at end of year 2025?
15% chance
What will US military investment in AI be in 2030?
2.4b
Will non-profit funding for AI safety reach 100 billion US dollars in a year before 2030?
38% chance
AI Warning Signs: Before 2030, will an AI system make $50M in realized profits from traditional investments and trades?
37% chance
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2030?
96% chance