Virginia redistricting before midterms?
2
Ṁ352026
35%
chance
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This market resolves yes if Virginia uses a different congressional map for the 2026 elections then the 2024 elections.
There is a current attempt in Virginia to do mid-decade redistricting, similar to several other states. This is particularly complicated in Virginia, because they currently have a bipartisan redistricting commission and passing a constitutional amendment is more difficult than in California. The steps needed (to my understanding:
Pass resolution in current special session
Pass resolution in a new session after the election (so early next year)
Organize a special election to pass a ballot measure in time for the midterms
Pass said ballot measure
Survive any legal challenges
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