Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Men's National Team (USMNT) reaches the semifinals in either the 2026, 2030, or 2034 FIFA World Cup tournaments. The USMNT must be one of the final four teams remaining in the tournament. Official confirmation from FIFA or reputable sports news outlets will serve as the source for resolution.

Background

The USMNT has participated in multiple FIFA World Cups, with their best performance occurring in 1930 when they reached the semifinals. In the modern era, their deepest run was in 2002, reaching the quarterfinals. The team is set to co-host the 2026 World Cup alongside Canada and Mexico, which may provide a home-field advantage.

Considerations

The expansion of the World Cup to 48 teams in 2026 may alter the tournament dynamics, potentially affecting the USMNT's path to the semifinals.