At what market cap will Carta exit for?
At what market cap will Carta exit for?
Basic
9
Ṁ4242030
15%
$0-$200M
13%
$200-$1B
26%
$1B-$5B
21%
$5B-$8.5B
12%
$8.5B-$12B
5%
$12B-$18B
4%
$18B-$30B
4%
>$30B
This market resolves to the market cap of Carta, Inc. (carta.com) at the end of the first day of public trading.
Latest valuation: $8.5 billion (early 2022)
If Carta is acquired, the market resolves to the publicly reported acquisition price or merger value at the day the merger/acquisition is announced, including both cash and stock.
If Carta has not had an exit by the end of the 2020s or shuts down, this market resolves to 0-$200M.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
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