Requires at least 5 nations to boycott the 2028 Olympics to resolve YES.

None of these countries would count towards that total:

-Russia and Belarus (might already be banned?)

-North Korea

-Iran

-Cuba

For a country to “boycott” it, it doesn’t just require some sort of diplomatic boycott (where diplomats don’t attend the ceremonies), but rather a very substantial reduction in athletes sent or sending no athletes at all.

Since this has high potential to be subjective, I will not bet in this market.