Will the "Possible Meissner effect near room temperature" paper by Hongyang Wang be replicated before the end of 2024?
Plus
127
Ṁ96kDec 31
2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Here we go again https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.00999
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Arxiv interview of the scientist who wrote the paper in this bet. https://sciencecast.org/casts/u1mlp8tkn7w4
In the interview he says that ten groups in China communicate via social media (a message board) on the topic of LK99 variants and room temp superconductors. He is confident that there will be replication from those or other sources
Related questions
Related questions
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?
1% chance
Will the “near room temp” Meissner effect superconductor in copper-substituted lead apatite be reproduced in 2024?
1% chance
Will the "Possible Meissner effect near room temperature" paper be retracted by 2025?
4% chance
Will a paper on room temp, ambient pressure Rationalussy superconductivity be released before 2025?
43% chance
Will the Meissner effect be confirmed near room temperature in copper-substituted lead apatite?
1% chance
Will the room-temperature superconductor results of Lee et. al be reproduced by the end of 2024?
3% chance
[100x Fine] Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?
95
[Kalshi] Will near room-temp Meissner effect be reported by a major peer-reviewed journal this year?
4% chance
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2026?
2% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2027?
8% chance