Will Hans Niemann become World Chess Champion within the next 25 years?
Plus
20
Ṁ14982049
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
He has declared his intention to do so: https://hansniemann.substack.com/p/the-tide-is-slowly-shifting
Resolves YES when he is declared classical World Chess Champion by FIDE or beats a lineal successor of Magnus Carlsen in a match widely acknowledged as the classical World Chess Championship (a la Kramnik). Resolves NO in all other cases
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before 2030?
67% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen be the World Chess Champion again in 2025?
3% chance
Who will be a world chess champion before 2050?
Will Magnus Carlsen become the FIDE World Chess Champion again by 2031?
21% chance
Who will be World Chess Champion at the end of the 2020s?
Will Fabiano Caruana become world chess champion by 2050?
21% chance
Will Hikaru Nakamura ever become World Chess Champion?
20% chance
Will Faustino Oro become world chess champion by 2040?
19% chance
Will Hans Niemann be rated >= 2800 FIDE?
17% chance
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi ever become World Chess Champion?
11% chance