Will QACI alignment affect p(doom) more than 5%? | Manifold

Will QACI alignment affect p(doom) more than 5%?

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https://carado.moe/narrative-explanation-qaci.html

a narrative explanation of the QACI alignment plan

a bunch of people are having a hard time understanding my question-answer counterfactual interval (QACI) alignment proposal, so i'm writing out this post which hopefully explains it better. in this scenario, cindy the human user uses an AI implementing of QACI to save the world.

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Related questions

Will QACI turn out to be a viable alignment plan?

Will p(doom) be meaningfully (>3%) affected by alignment researchers choosing to walk rather than run from ptA to ptB?

Will Zvi's p(doom) go down substantially in 2024?

Will janus/@repligate meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 5%?

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Will Alex Zhu meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 2%?

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Will Eliezer's AI doom market have a higher P(doom) in the third quarter of 2026 than today's (2023-09-27) 21%?

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