Russia collapses before 2030

Will Russia control Kaliningrad on Jan 1st 2031?

Will Russia formally cede any territory before 2030?

Will the Russian Federation break up into multiple independent states before 2030

Will any part of pre-2014 Russia territory become an internationally recognized independent state by the end of 2040?

Will Russia lose control of at least as much territory inside Russia as it did to Wagner by the end of 2030?

Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

Will Russia be invaded by foreign troops (other than Ukrainian, >10000) before 2060?

[Metaculus] Will Russia control Pokrovsk Before 2025?