- Urbanization will slow due to population decline.
- Self driving technology will make a bigger difference for cars than for public transit or bicycles.
- Almost anyone would like to own a car if they can afford it, and society is only going to get richer.
- The most theoretically efficient way to do public transit is to use smaller vehicles and flexible routes like jitneys and Uber Route Share. Public transit only emphasizes large vehicles on fixed routes because of the limitations of the labor-and-paperwork organizational model. AGI enabled public transit is going to prefer to use more, smaller vehicles on most routes instead of buses and trains.
- The persistent problems with public transit in America - underfunding, captivity to labor unions, and mentally ill / criminal riders - are social and political in nature, and will not be solved in the foreseeable future