Resolution Criteria

The 2026 World Cup Final will be held at MetLife Stadium in New York/New Jersey on July 19, 2026. The market resolves to the player who scores the final goal of the match. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA records and major sports news outlets (ESPN, BBC Sport, Sky Sports, etc.). If the match goes to extra time or penalties, the goal scored in the final moments of regulation or extra time counts; penalty shootout goals do not count as they are not part of match play.

Background

This tournament will be the first to include 48 teams, an expansion from 32, and will take place from June 11 to July 19, 2026, jointly hosted by sixteen cities—eleven in the United States, three in Mexico, and two in Canada. The total number of games played will increase from 64 to 104.

Considerations

Predicting the winning goal scorer requires forecasting both which team reaches the final and which player scores in that specific match—a compound probability involving team strength, player form months away, potential injuries, and tactical decisions by coaches. The expanded format and three-nation hosting may introduce logistical variables that affect team performance.