Will West Papua be independent by 2030? | Manifold

Will West Papua be independent by 2030?

Plus

8

Ṁ565

2030

29%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves Yes, if the western half of New Guinea belonging to Indonesia becomes independent/ more than 50% of UN members recognise the country.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Collective Autonomy

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Related questions

Will a state declare independence from the USA by 2030?

-35% 1d15% chance

Will California, or any part of California, become an independent country before 2030?

+6% 1d10% chance

Will French Polynesia become independent from France by the end of 2037?

Will Martinique gain independence before 2030?

Will the Cape declare independence before 2030?

Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030?

-4% 1d32% chance

Will Bougainville Island achieve independence from Papua New Guinea before 2029?

Will New Caledonia become independent of France before 2035?

Which of these countries will have regions declare and gain recognised independence by the end of 2030?

Bougainville an independent country by 2028?

Related questions

Will a state declare independence from the USA by 2030?

Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030?

Will California, or any part of California, become an independent country before 2030?

Will Bougainville Island achieve independence from Papua New Guinea before 2029?

Will French Polynesia become independent from France by the end of 2037?

Will New Caledonia become independent of France before 2035?

Will Martinique gain independence before 2030?

Which of these countries will have regions declare and gain recognised independence by the end of 2030?

Will the Cape declare independence before 2030?

Bougainville an independent country by 2028?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules