Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if, for the years 2023 and 2024 combined, the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) reports that both the United States and Iran are either primary parties or active warring parties on opposite sides of a conflict resulting in 1,000 or more state-based conflict deaths (specifically, the category "state-based violence"). The 1,000 deaths need not occur in a single year. We will defer to UCDP's methodology in calculating conflict deaths.

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