Will there be a tsunami that kills at least 50,000 people before 2030?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question resolves will resolve as Yes there is a single tsunami which can be attributed to 50,000 fatalities. The tsunami must occur between October 1, 2022 to January 1, 2030, but the fatalities need not occur strictly within this time period.

To resolve the question, Metaculus will consider all credible sources, including USGS Earthquake Hazards Program and other official statistics and media reports

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.