Will another member of the U.S Congress be expelled before 2030?
Basic
5
Ṁ512030
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As stated in the question. If you think there’s ambiguity let me know. One edge case is George Santos being re-elected and re-expelled, but odds are so small I’m not going to entertain it.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will another congressperson have pulled a "George Santos" before March 2025?
21% chance
Will any of the current or ex US Congressman or Senator go to space before 2030?
51% chance
Will any member of "The Squad" become Speaker of the House before 2033?
25% chance
Will a member of United States congress die in 2026?
77% chance
Will a US president be removed from office early for any reason through 2036?
40% chance
Will a member of United States House of Representatives die in 2025?
65% chance
Will a member of United States congress die in 2025?
83% chance
Will Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030?
66% chance
Will a member of United States congress die in 2025?
82% chance
Will any current member of Congress leave their party before 2026.
76% chance