Will the United States be directly involved in a war by the end of 2028?
Plus
20
Ṁ18202029
59%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Beyond supplying armaments, will the United States be directly involved in an open conflict.
This does not require formal declaration of war by Congress, but must be more than an assassination or single strike. For example, an artillery bombardment from US forces or the landing of US troops would count as Yes.
Substantially economic or military arms shipments would not count (e.g. Ukraine).
Will resolve yes before close date if criteria is met.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the U.S. and China go to war before 2025?
2% chance
Will The US be at at war with another country by the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will a new major war break out in 2024?
17% chance
Will we see any major wars before the end of 2024? 🤔
24% chance
Will the USA get involved in a world war during 2024?
2% chance
Will America declare war on any country in 2024?
2% chance
Will China launch a war on the US by 2028?
19% chance
What countries will the US be at war with in 2029?
Will the US will have a Civil War by the end of 2028?
9% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran by the end of 2024?
5% chance