Will Eliezer Yudkowsky work for Anthropic OR OpenAI in any role before the end of 2025?
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky work for Anthropic OR OpenAI in any role before the end of 2025?
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https://youtu.be/gA1sNLL6yg4?t=4995&si=EK43yO1zK5vCwnY3
(Yudkowsky on the Bankless Podcast)
[...] when I dive back into the pool, I don't know, maybe I will go off to Conjecture or Anthropic or one of the smaller concerns like Redwood Research - Redwood Research being the only ones I really trust at this point, but they're tiny... and try to figure out if I can see anything clever to do with the giant inscrutable arrays of floating-point numbers [...]
I think other options include some more serious blogging about why this is going to be difficult. Or maybe OpenAI makes him a pitch that he thinks would be low-dignity to turn down... Though idk, that seems seriously unlikely, OA seems pretty insistently anti-Yudkowsky in their openly discussed group-think messaging about this topic.
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What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
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Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
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