Milestone events in humanoid robot development before 2030
1
Ṁ20
2029
66%
A humanoid robot completes a full Marathon race.
50%
A humanoid robot capable of bipedal motion and natural language communication available for sale on Amazon.
50%
A humanoid robot is featured on the cover of a major fashion magazine.
50%
A humanoid robot is featured on the cover of Time magazine.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed event if it occurs before January 1, 2030, as verified by credible sources.

Background

Humanoid robots have been making significant strides in recent years. In April 2025, the "Tiangong Ultra" humanoid robot completed a half-marathon in Beijing, finishing the 21.0975-kilometer race in 2 hours, 40 minutes, and 42 seconds. (news.cgtn.com) This event marked a milestone in robotic endurance and mobility.

Regarding commercial availability, companies like Neura Robotics and 1X Technologies have been developing humanoid robots with advanced capabilities. Neura Robotics introduced "4NE-1," a general-purpose humanoid robot designed for industrial and domestic tasks, in July 2024. (en.wikipedia.org) Similarly, 1X Technologies unveiled "NEO Gamma," a bipedal humanoid robot intended for home use, in early 2025. (en.wikipedia.org)

As for media representation, while humanoid robots have been featured in various exhibitions and events, there have been no instances of them appearing on the covers of major fashion magazines or Time magazine as of June 2025.

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