If Eliezer Yudkowsky wins the Nobel Peace Prize, what will it be for?
Basic
6
Ṁ1062101
1D
1W
1M
ALL
60%
Alignment research
37%
Delaying superintelligence
28%
Accelerating AI progress
If multiple reasons are cited, all cited options resolve YES.
Sam Altman said Eliezer may deserve the Nobel Peace Prize for accelerating AGI.
This was brought up to Eliezer on a podcast, where he responded: "In the unlikely event that it does happen, I would rather expect it to be more for raising the alarm and getting it successfully shut down."
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
91% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky write a tweet containing the word "rationalussy" in 2024?
22% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?
9% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Nobel peace prize before 2100?
6% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
62% chance
Eliezer Yudkowsky irrelevant by 2030
51% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get an op-ed in the NY Times or Washington Post by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky lose his bet with Unknown?
72% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?
21% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042?
7% chance