In which US state will there be a murder by the end of March (first quarter of 2025)?
Basic
7
Ṁ400Apr 1
90%
Florida
90%
Maryland
90%
New York
90%
Ohio
90%
Pennsylvania
90%
Texas
90%
Virginia
90%
District of Columbia
86%
California
83%
Illinois
80%
Georgia
69%
Alabama
69%
Alaska
69%
Arizona
69%
Arkansas
69%
Colorado
69%
Connecticut
69%
Delaware
69%
Hawaii
69%
Idaho
If a person is charged with murder in a certain state, that state will immediately resolve yes (I will try my best to resolve as fast as I can, but please feel free to remind me in the comments, providing proof)
Multiple states can resolve yes; this market will resolve yes one state at a time, if there is no murder in a state by March 31 then that state will resolve no.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a fatal airliner crash in the US before the end of 2025?
15% chance
Will there be an assassination of an American politician by the end of 2025?
26% chance
Will there be a new US State by 2055?
46% chance
Will a single shooting incident kill at least 20 people in the US during 2025?
41% chance
😵Which states in the USA will have a higher suicide rate in five years? (2024-2029)
Will there be an execution by firing squad in the United States by the end of 2026?
30% chance
Will the killer of Brian Thompson be found guilty of 1st degree murder by the end of 2026?
80% chance
Will there be a mass shooting in the US more deadly than the 2017 Las Vegas shooting before 2030?
45% chance
Will there be any lynchings in the USA by the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will suicide become allowed in any US state by the end of 2029?
17% chance