US Department of Defense renamed to Department of War before 2026?
192
Ṁ40k
Dec 31
22%
chance

Resolution criteria

  • YES if, by 11:59:59 pm ET on December 31, 2025, a U.S. public law takes effect that changes the legal name of the executive department from “Department of Defense” to “Department of War.” Verification will rely on: (a) Congress.gov listing of the enacted Public Law and slip-law text, and (b) the Office of the Law Revision Counsel’s U.S. Code showing the updated name in 5 U.S.C. §101. If sources conflict, the enacted law’s text and effective-date clause control.

  • NO if no such law is in effect by the deadline. Executive orders, agency website/style changes, press releases, or informal usage alone do not count without a statute amending the department’s legal name.

  • Edge cases: A law passed in 2025 but with an effective date in 2026+ resolves NO. Names other than exactly “Department of War” (e.g., “Department of War and Defense”) resolve NO. Changes to subcomponents (e.g., Department of the Army) do not count.

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bought Ṁ200 NO

@Magnify read the description bro

@SaviorofPlant I’m aware of the deadline, I just think it’s probably going to happen. You saw how fast they were with “gulf of America”

sold Ṁ250 YES

I believe this should not yet resolve YES, as the resolution criteria require the name to be changed by statute, while so far only an executive order has been issued (which the description specifically calls out as insufficient)

@Gabrielle the fact that the criteria is AI Generated doesnt mean i didnt read it!!! Had no plans to resolve based on the executive order

@256 Don’t worry, I was trying to be helpful for everyone else betting the market up, I figured that you knew the resolution criteria. Sorry for the confusion!

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