By when will we have AGI? | Manifold

By when will we have AGI?

Basic

9

Ṁ483

2032

91%

2033 or later

80%

2032

77%

2031

76%

2030

69%

2029

50%

2028

49%

2027

6%

2026

1%

2025

1%

2024 (we have it)

Short timeline friend bet

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Define AGI as artificial general intelligence, or an AI that is generally intelligent, available, and can learn.

@2sDefine "generally intelligent"

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-3% 1d58% chance

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