Background
The election of a House Speaker requires a majority of votes from members present and voting. In January 2023, Kevin McCarthy's election required a historic 15 ballots over multiple days. The last time a Speaker election went beyond one ballot was in 1923, which took 9 ballots. The longest Speaker election in history occurred in 1855-56, lasting 133 ballots over two months.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve based on the number of roll call votes (ballots) required to elect the next permanent Speaker of the House. The count begins with the first ballot and includes all subsequent ballots until a Speaker is elected by receiving a majority of votes cast.
If voting is suspended and resumed later, all ballots will still count toward the total
If the House adjourns between ballots, the count continues when voting resumes
Only official roll call votes for Speaker count toward the total
Votes on choosing a speaker any other way will not count
1,000
3.00@EricNeyman The tally was never completed, the people changed their vote during the counting phase or whatever.
Basically they never closed the first vote.